One more thing - Obama doesn't need Florida. If he wins everything that is VERY solidly blue right now, he has 264 EVs. To win, he just needs to add CO, OH, or VA. Any ONE of them, and he's got it. Colorado has been staunchly blue on 538 for weeks! NV is also looking more and more likely! And while it's boggling that VA could go blue, I see it as more than a possibility.

Basically, it's possible that his victory might be narrow, but that's only at the very minimum of what's going for him right now. I just can't see the polls failing that spectacularly.